000007657 001__ 7657 000007657 005__ 20240531164758.0 000007657 02470 $$2doi$$a10.24868/issn.2515-818X.2020.015 000007657 035__ $$a4472559 000007657 037__ $$aGENERAL 000007657 245__ $$aA Novel Approach to the Analysis of Sinking Ships; Combining Vulnerability, Stability and Escape & Evacuation Simulations 000007657 269__ $$a2020-10-05 000007657 336__ $$aConference Proceedings 000007657 520__ $$aAt present naval ship ultimate stability, Escape & Evacuation (E&E) analysis and operator guidance are largely produced independently. Carpet plots are calculated quasi-statically giving estimates of vessel likelihood of survival using delineations of ‘poor stability’ and ‘vessel lost’ to the command whilst the definition of poor stability does not account for the dynamic effect of sea states on vessel motion. With advances in the software used to model threats and resultant ship damage effects, a new approach is proposed whereby abandonment and dynamic sinking are modelled alongside a functional survivability analysis. By integrating and automating survivability analysis with state-of-the-art E&E and seakeeping software, an ultimate stability carpet plot is produced giving times to sink based on time domain seakeeping simulations. In parallel, escape times can be generated including the effects of flooding and ship motions on movement of personnel which are then compared to the calculated sinking times. Through a combined consideration of threat, flooding and ship motions the escape arrangements of a vessel can be understood. It is possible to conduct this combined analysis in a cost and time efficient manner through the use of the tools developed as part of this work 000007657 542__ $$fCC-BY-4.0 000007657 6531_ $$aEscape and Evacuation 000007657 6531_ $$aVulnerability Assessment 000007657 6531_ $$aDamaged Stability 000007657 6531_ $$aTime to Escape 000007657 6531_ $$aSinking Ships 000007657 6531_ $$aTime Domain Seakeeping Assessment 000007657 6531_ $$aCarpet Plot 000007657 6531_ $$aNaval Ship Certification 000007657 7001_ $$aGoddard, R$$uSteller Systems Ltd, Nailsworth, UK 000007657 7001_ $$aSchofield, J$$uSurvivability Consulting Ltd, Dunfermline, UK 000007657 7001_ $$aMenzies, D$$uSurvivability Consulting Ltd, Dunfermline, UK 000007657 7001_ $$aMarshall, S$$uUK Ministry of Defence 000007657 7001_ $$aThompson, H$$uSteller Systems Ltd, Nailsworth, UK 000007657 773__ $$tConference Proceedings of INEC 000007657 773__ $$jINEC 2020 000007657 789__ $$whttps://zenodo.org/record/4472559$$2URL$$eIsIdenticalTo 000007657 85641 $$uhttps://www.imarest.org/events/inec-2020$$yConference website 000007657 8564_ $$96712fba1-6897-420d-a004-59445757db57$$s5233145$$uhttps://library.imarest.org/record/7657/files/INEC_2020_Paper_22.pdf